These numbers are not official, rather exit polls conducted by polling companies for media companies. We’ll get the first official-type result later when Peru’s ONPE gives its fast-count results. But so far, we have Keiko Fujimori at 50.3% and Pedro Castillo at 49.7%. At this preliminary stage, we can only say Keiko Fujimori is leading as it’s too close to call a virtual President-elect of Peru.
UPDATE: Peru’s official electoral body ONPE expects to deliver its fast count result, a normally highly accurate count that decides President-elect,
in around two hours’ time now scheduled for 10pm local time (that’s 11pm in New York) 11:30pm local time (that’s 00:30 New York and I hate it when countries do this). The atmosphere in Peru this evening is tense, to say the least.
Another Update: Still the IPSOS pollster but this time with access to official results, a new fast count poll gives Pedro Castillo 50.2%, Keiko Fujimori 49.8%. Still way too close to call until the official ONPE Fast Count results are given.
Another update: First ONPE official numbers and, with 42.03% of votes counted, Keiko has 52.9% to Pedro’s 47.1% of valid votes. As first results to ONPE offices tend to urban areas, this ties in with tonight’s overriding message that it’s going to be close (and a long night).
Another update: With 56.4% of votes counted, it’s Keiko 52.5%, Pedro 47.5%. That’s the tendency expected at rural votes begin to predominate, the question is whether Keiko has enough of a cushion.
Another update: We are at 73% of votes counted, Keiko 52.32%, Pedro 47.68%. So far at least, the expected rural weighting hasn’t shown for Pedro Castillo and if we get to 90% with this gap, it will be all over.
Another: 77.5% of votes counted, Keiko 52%, Pedro 48%.
UPDATE 02:40am: This time there is a clear movement as with 80.7% of votes tallied, we are 51.5% Keiko and 48.4% Pedro. In other words, 3% of added votes created a 0.5% swing to Castillo, that’s the rural votes arriving.
UPDATE 03:17 local time: Keiko 51.2%, Pedro 48.8%, with 83.2% of votes counted.
UPDATE 04:12am local time: Tighter indeed, it’s now getting to the point where Pedro Castillo looks like catching Keiko Fujimori. Right now, the count stands at Keiko 50.769% and Pedro 49.231%, with 86.476% of votes counted. The last couple of updates have seen Castillo eat more quickly into the slight lead.
Suddenly, a lot will depend on the overseas vote counts and that means we’re not going to get a call on the next President for days.
UPDATE 05:06am: The trend is now clear, Castillo is catching Fujimori. The running total is Keiko 50.506% and Pedro 49.494%, with 88.871% of votes counted. We’re going to have yet another contested election result though, whoever gets the nod from ONPE.
(probably final) UPDATE: Now 06:49 and at 90.482% of votes counted, Keiko has 50.321% and Pedro has 49.679%. The tendency is clear and at the current rate, Pedro Castillo will pass Keiko Fujimori’s vote count around the 94% level.