Take physic, pomp

South American World Cup Futbol Qualifiers: Results and next round picks

Wow, by sheer luck and benign footballing Gods smiling down sweetly, we actually hit two winners out of two this weekend. Thanks to Ecuador sharing the points with Brazil and Chile whupping Peru’s tush, Otto’s two virtual bets both won and the virtual stack of money now stands at a virtual $281.25. As for you, Boz, “sigue participando” as they say down this way 🙂

So the big question is, “How to blow the cash on the midweek fixtures?” Here we go with the Tuesday / Wednesday matches, with prices again supplied by Ladbrokes.

Venezuela 11/8………. Draw 11/5…………. Colombia 8/5

Bolivia 9/2 …………..Draw 5/2…….. Argentina 8/15

Ecuador 11/8 ………..Draw 11/5………. Paraguay 8/5

Chile 11/10 ………..Draw 11/5 ……..Uruguay 2/1

Brazil 1/7………. Draw 5/1 ……….Peru 11/1

Comments and picks: Brazil is unbettable at 1/7, so that match doesn’t interest us much. There are some very tough matches to call this fixture, in fact. Bolivia are always three times stronger at home than away thanks to playing at altitude (3,800masl approx) in La Paz. This means that Argentina, good as the team is, is no lock for the points. Ecuador vs Paraguay; I really have no idea on that one so I’m leaving it be.

The best spectacle is likely to be Chile vs Uruguay, a real full-on battle in the making. Uruguay played some great football to beat Paraguay 2-0 over the weekend. Chile has just bagged three points away from home at the embarrassing Peru and has a big home advantage in Santiago. It also has Marcelo Bielsa as the brainpower, a man who will have a whole different strategy planned for the match with the Garruas. So even though Uruguay were very impressive I’m going to pick Chile at 11/10 to beat Uruguay.

For my other pick, a draw is likely in the Venezuela / Colombia matchup and 11/5 looks good to me. Neither team is great and the home advantage should let the slightly weaker Venezuela hold onto a point. That’s the plan, anyway. What could possibly go wrong? So my bets are:

$100 on Chile @ 11/10 (theoretical return $210)
$40 on Venezuela Colombia to draw @ 11/5 (theoretical return $128)

Which leaves $141.25 in the cash pot to fight another day. And let’s see how we get on.

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